Goztepe vs Genclerbirligi: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Goztepevs
GenclerbirligiThe model puts Goztepe at 57%. The model leans toward Goztepe. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Goztepe have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Genclerbirligi have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Goztepe have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Goztepe is priced at 1.66.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Goztepe at 57%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Genclerbirligi at 18%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Goztepe. Goztepe is priced at 1.66. The draw is priced at 3.84. Genclerbirligi is priced at 5.2.
Goztepe have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. Genclerbirligi have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Goztepe have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Genclerbirligi have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 45% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Goztepe or Genclerbirligi?
Our model rates Goztepe as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Goztepe vs Genclerbirligi?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 7 Goztepe wins, 2 draws, 6 Genclerbirligi wins.
League table
Turkey. SuperLiga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Amedspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Istanbul BFK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Genclerbirligi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 |  Besiktas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 |  Caykur Rizespor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 |  Samsunspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 1 |
| 7 | Goztepe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 1 |
| 8 |  Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 9 |  Arca Corum | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 10 |  Trabzonspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 11 |  Gaziantep | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 12 |  Alanyaspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 13 |  Kasimpasa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 14 |  Fenerbahce | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 15 |  Eyupspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 16 |  Konyaspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 17 |  Kocaelispor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 18 |  BB Erzurumspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.