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England. National League Cup

Gateshead vs Nottingham Forest U21: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Gateshead GatesheadvsNottingham Forest U21 Nottingham Forest U21
Our predictionNottingham Forest U21 to win
Model score: Low · 15/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Nottingham Forest U21 at 45%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: low.

Win probabilities

1 · GatesheadDraw2 · Nottingham Forest U21
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.38+9.4%
1X2Gateshead3.13+0.6%
1X2Draw3.60-0.2%
1X2Nottingham Forest U211.99-0.4%
BTTSYes1.50-9.4%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Most likely scorelines

1-112.5%
0-110.8%
1-28.9%
1-08.7%
0-27.7%
0-07.6%
Team strength rating
Gateshead
48
Nottingham Forest U21
57

Expected goals

1.15Gateshead
xG
1.43Nottingham Forest U21
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score52%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Gateshead Nottingham Forest U21

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Nottingham Forest U21 win1.99Fair
Double chanceNottingham Forest U21 or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0811841
1912942
25752
3232
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Gateshead at 30%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Nottingham Forest U21 at 45%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward Nottingham Forest U21. Gateshead is priced at 3.135. The draw is priced at 3.6. Nottingham Forest U21 is priced at 1.99.

The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Gateshead or Nottingham Forest U21?

Our model rates Nottingham Forest U21 as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Gateshead vs Nottingham Forest U21?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

England. National League Cup
#TeamGPWLTGPtsForm
1Scunthorpe United00000:00
2Halifax Town00000:00
3Gateshead00000:00
4Wealdstone00000:00
5Nottingham Forest U2100000:00
6Stoke City00000:00
7Wolverhampton Wanderers U2100000:00
8Derby County U2100000:00
Promotion - Nacional League Cup (Play-off: Round of 8)

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.