Scunthorpe United vs Stoke City U21: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Scunthorpe Unitedvs
Stoke City U21The model puts Scunthorpe United at 61%. The model leans toward Scunthorpe United. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Scunthorpe United.
- +The head-to-head record favours Scunthorpe United (4-0-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Scunthorpe United have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Stoke City U21 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Scunthorpe United have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Scunthorpe United is priced at 1.54.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Scunthorpe United at 61%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Stoke City U21 at 18%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Scunthorpe United. Scunthorpe United is priced at 1.54. The draw is priced at 4.2. Stoke City U21 is priced at 4.705.
Scunthorpe United have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
Scunthorpe United have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Stoke City U21 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 43% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Scunthorpe United or Stoke City U21?
Our model rates Scunthorpe United as the most likely outcome at 61% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Scunthorpe United vs Stoke City U21?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 4 Scunthorpe United wins, 0 draws, 0 Stoke City U21 wins.
League table
England. National League Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scunthorpe United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 2 |  Halifax Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 3 |  Gateshead | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 4 |  Wealdstone | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 5 |  Nottingham Forest U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 6 |  Stoke City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 7 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 8 |  Derby County U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.