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England. National League Cup

Worthing vs West Ham United U21: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Worthing WorthingvsWest Ham United U21 West Ham United U21
Our predictionWorthing to win
Model score: Medium · 37/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Worthing at 41%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · WorthingDraw2 · West Ham United U21
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.77+14.1%
1X2Worthing2.24+0.5%
1X2Draw3.96-0.2%
1X2West Ham United U212.43-0.3%
BTTSYes1.38-14.1%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Worthing
55
West Ham United U21
54

Most likely scorelines

1-112.4%
1-010.5%
2-18.8%
0-18.8%
2-07.4%
0-07.4%

Recent form

WorthingLWWWD
West Ham United U21DWLWL

Expected goals

1.42Worthing
xG
1.19West Ham United U21
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score53%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Worthing West Ham United U21

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Worthing win2.24Fair (+0.5%)
Double chanceWorthing or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07952
1101273
27952
3442
411
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Worthing at 41%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts West Ham United U21 at 37%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market frames this as a close contest. Worthing is priced at 2.24. The draw is priced at 3.96. West Ham United U21 is priced at 2.43.

Worthing have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.

Worthing have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. West Ham United U21 have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Worthing or West Ham United U21?

Our model rates Worthing as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Worthing vs West Ham United U21?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 1 Worthing wins, 0 draws, 0 West Ham United U21 wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

England. National League Cup
#TeamGPWLTGPtsForm
1Scunthorpe United00000:00
2Halifax Town00000:00
3Gateshead00000:00
4Wealdstone00000:00
5Nottingham Forest U2100000:00
6Stoke City00000:00
7Wolverhampton Wanderers U2100000:00
8Derby County U2100000:00
Promotion - Nacional League Cup (Play-off: Round of 8)

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.