1860 Munchen vs Holstein: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
1860 Munchenvs
HolsteinThe model puts Holstein at 61%. The model leans toward Holstein. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours 1860 Munchen.
- −The head-to-head record favours 1860 Munchen (2-1-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- 1860 Munchen have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Holstein have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- 1860 Munchen have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Holstein is priced at 1.44.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 3 | |
| 1 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts 1860 Munchen at 22%. The model puts the draw at 17%. The model puts Holstein at 61%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Holstein. 1860 Munchen is priced at 5.65. The draw is priced at 5.1. Holstein is priced at 1.44.
1860 Munchen have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Holstein have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
1860 Munchen have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. 1860 Munchen are on 2 wins in a row. Holstein have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, 1860 Munchen or Holstein?
Our model rates Holstein as the most likely outcome at 61% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for 1860 Munchen vs Holstein?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 2 1860 Munchen wins, 1 draws, 1 Holstein wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.