VfL Bochum vs VfL Osnabruck: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
VfL Bochumvs
VfL OsnabruckThe model puts VfL Bochum at 60%. The model leans toward VfL Bochum. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours VfL Bochum.
- +The head-to-head record favours VfL Bochum (4-2-2).
- −VfL Bochum are dealing with notable absentees.
- +VfL Osnabruck are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- VfL Bochum have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- VfL Osnabruck have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- VfL Bochum have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- VfL Bochum will be without Rakneberg, Strompf.
- VfL Osnabruck will be without Wensing, Kyereh.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 8 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 2 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts VfL Bochum at 60%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts VfL Osnabruck at 19%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward VfL Bochum. VfL Bochum is priced at 1.64. The draw is priced at 4.05. VfL Osnabruck is priced at 4.74.
VfL Bochum have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. VfL Osnabruck have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
VfL Bochum have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. VfL Bochum are on 2 wins in a row. VfL Osnabruck have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
VfL Bochum average 0 goals per game this season. VfL Bochum average 56% possession. VfL Osnabruck average 3 goals per game this season. VfL Osnabruck average 46% possession.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 57% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, VfL Bochum or VfL Osnabruck?
Our model rates VfL Bochum as the most likely outcome at 60% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for VfL Bochum vs VfL Osnabruck?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings: 4 VfL Bochum wins, 2 draws, 2 VfL Osnabruck wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Match statistics
VfL Bochum
- 1Horn T.
- 5Mets K.
- 6Cokaj
- 7Rasmussen C.
- 10Taz
- 13Olsen O.
- 15Steinwender M.
- 23Miyoshi
- 24Pannewig
- 32Wittek
- 33Hofmann
- Rakneberg (Missing Player)
- Strompf (Missing Player)
VfL Osnabruck
- 11Meissner R.
- 15Jacobsen B.
- 22Riesselmann
- 24Muller J.
- 25Wiemann
- 26Wagner F.
- 27Fabinski
- 28Faber C.
- 29Kopacz D.
- 31Kammerbauer
- 32Krumrey
- Wensing (Missing Player)
- Kyereh (Questionable)
League table
Germany. 2. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nurnberg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 |  Hertha BSC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 3 |  Karlsruher | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 4 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:0 | 4 |
| 5 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 3 |
| 6 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 7 | VfL Bochum | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 8 |  Energie Cottbus | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 9 |  1. Heidenheim | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 10 |  1. Magdeburg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 11 |  Dynamo Dresden | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 3 |
| 12 |  Holstein | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 2 |
| 13 |  St. Pauli | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 14 |  1. Kaiserslautern | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:0 | 2 |
| 15 |  Darmstadt 98 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 16 |  Greuther Furth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 17 |  Hannover 96 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 18 | VfL Osnabruck | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:7 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.