Kocaelispor vs Amedspor: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Kocaelisporvs
AmedsporThe model puts Kocaelispor at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Amedspor.
- −The head-to-head record favours Amedspor (2-0-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Kocaelispor have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Amedspor have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Kocaelispor have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Kocaelispor is priced at 2.1.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Kocaelispor at 43%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Amedspor at 31%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Kocaelispor. Kocaelispor is priced at 2.1. The draw is priced at 3.38. Amedspor is priced at 3.56.
Kocaelispor have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Amedspor have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
Kocaelispor have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Amedspor have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Amedspor are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Kocaelispor or Amedspor?
Our model rates Kocaelispor as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Kocaelispor vs Amedspor?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Kocaelispor wins, 0 draws, 4 Amedspor wins.
League table
Turkey. SuperLiga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amedspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Istanbul BFK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 3 |  Genclerbirligi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 |  Besiktas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 |  Caykur Rizespor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 |  Samsunspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 1 |
| 7 |  Goztepe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 1 |
| 8 |  Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 9 |  Arca Corum | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 10 |  Trabzonspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 11 |  Gaziantep | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 12 |  Alanyaspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 13 |  Kasimpasa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 14 |  Fenerbahce | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 15 |  Eyupspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 16 |  Konyaspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 17 | Kocaelispor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 18 |  BB Erzurumspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.