Al-Qadisiyah vs Al-Ittihad Jeddah: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Al-Qadisiyahvs
Al-Ittihad JeddahThe model puts Al-Qadisiyah at 64%. The model leans toward Al-Qadisiyah. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Al-Qadisiyah (7-5-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Al-Qadisiyah have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Al-Ittihad Jeddah have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Al-Qadisiyah have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Al-Qadisiyah is priced at 1.495.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Al-Qadisiyah at 64%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Al-Ittihad Jeddah at 17%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Al-Qadisiyah. Al-Qadisiyah is priced at 1.495. The draw is priced at 4.72. Al-Ittihad Jeddah is priced at 5.29.
Al-Qadisiyah have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. Al-Ittihad Jeddah have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 5 of their head-to-head meetings.
Al-Qadisiyah have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Al-Ittihad Jeddah have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Al-Ittihad Jeddah are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 42% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Al-Qadisiyah or Al-Ittihad Jeddah?
Our model rates Al-Qadisiyah as the most likely outcome at 64% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Al-Qadisiyah vs Al-Ittihad Jeddah?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 7 Al-Qadisiyah wins, 5 draws, 3 Al-Ittihad Jeddah wins.
League table
Saudi Arabia. Saudi Professional League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Riyadh | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 |  Al Nassr | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 3 |  Ettifaq Dammam | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 4 | Al-Qadisiyah | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 5 |  Al Hazm Rass | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 6 |  Neom SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 7 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 8 | Al-Ittihad Jeddah | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 |  Al Kholood | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 |  Al-Khaleej | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 11 |  Al-Taawon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 12 |  Abha | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 13 |  Al Draih | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 14 |  Al-Faisaly Harmah | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 15 |  Al-Riyadh SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 16 |  Al Shabab Riyadh | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 17 |  Al-Fateh Al-Ahsa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 18 |  Al Feiha | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.