LASK Linz vs Celtic: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
LASK Linzvs
CelticThe model puts Celtic at 35%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Celtic.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- LASK Linz have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Celtic have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- LASK Linz have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Celtic is priced at 2.84.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts LASK Linz at 35%. The model puts the draw at 30%. The model puts Celtic at 35%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. LASK Linz is priced at 2.69. The draw is priced at 3.04. Celtic is priced at 2.84.
LASK Linz have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
LASK Linz have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Celtic have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, LASK Linz or Celtic?
Our model rates Celtic as the most likely outcome at 35% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for LASK Linz vs Celtic?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 2 LASK Linz wins, 0 draws, 0 Celtic wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.