Bodo-Glimt vs N.E.C.: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Bodo-Glimtvs
N.E.C.The model puts Bodo-Glimt at 59%. The model leans toward Bodo-Glimt. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Bodo-Glimt.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Bodo-Glimt have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- N.E.C. have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Bodo-Glimt is priced at 1.675.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Bodo-Glimt at 59%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts N.E.C. at 22%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Bodo-Glimt. Bodo-Glimt is priced at 1.675. The draw is priced at 4.6. N.E.C. is priced at 4.18.
N.E.C. have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Bodo-Glimt have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Bodo-Glimt are on 2 wins in a row. N.E.C. have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Bodo-Glimt or N.E.C.?
Our model rates Bodo-Glimt as the most likely outcome at 59% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Bodo-Glimt vs N.E.C.?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Bodo-Glimt wins, 0 draws, 1 N.E.C. wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.