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UEFA Champions League

Bodo-Glimt vs N.E.C.: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Bodo-Glimt Bodo-GlimtvsN.E.C. N.E.C.
Our predictionBodo-Glimt to win
Model score: High · 92/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Bodo-Glimt at 63%. The model leans toward Bodo-Glimt. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Bodo-GlimtDraw2 · N.E.C.
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.81+24.7%
1X2Bodo-Glimt1.55+2.0%
1X2N.E.C.4.98-1.0%
1X2Draw4.84-1.0%
BTTSYes1.38-24.7%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Bodo-Glimt
77
N.E.C.
33

Recent form

Bodo-GlimtWWLWD
N.E.C.LLWDL

Most likely scorelines

1-013.9%
2-013.8%
1-19.4%
2-19.3%
3-09.1%
0-07.0%

Expected goals

1.98Bodo-Glimt
xG
0.68N.E.C.
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score42%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Bodo-Glimt N.E.C.

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Bodo-Glimt win1.55Fair (+2.0%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0752
11493
21493
3962
4531
521

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Bodo-Glimt at 63%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts N.E.C. at 18%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Bodo-Glimt. Bodo-Glimt is priced at 1.55. The draw is priced at 4.84. N.E.C. is priced at 4.98.

N.E.C. have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.

Bodo-Glimt have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Bodo-Glimt are on 2 wins in a row. N.E.C. have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 42% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Bodo-Glimt or N.E.C.?

Our model rates Bodo-Glimt as the most likely outcome at 63% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Bodo-Glimt vs N.E.C.?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 0 Bodo-Glimt wins, 0 draws, 1 N.E.C. wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.