Celje vs Slovan Bratislava: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Celjevs
Slovan BratislavaThe model puts Celje at 39%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Celje (1-2-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Celje have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Slovan Bratislava have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Celje have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Celje is priced at 2.512.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Celje at 39%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts Slovan Bratislava at 32%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Celje is priced at 2.512. The draw is priced at 3.22. Slovan Bratislava is priced at 2.89.
Celje have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Celje have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Slovan Bratislava have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Celje or Slovan Bratislava?
Our model rates Celje as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Celje vs Slovan Bratislava?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 1 Celje wins, 2 draws, 0 Slovan Bratislava wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.