Cambuur vs Twente: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Cambuurvs
TwenteThe model puts Twente at 68%. The model leans toward Twente. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Cambuur (9-3-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Cambuur have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Twente have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cambuur have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Twente is priced at 1.325.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 28 | 27 | 13 | 4 | ||
| 1 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Cambuur at 15%. The model puts the draw at 16%. The model puts Twente at 68%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Twente. Cambuur is priced at 8.3. The draw is priced at 5.55. Twente is priced at 1.325.
Cambuur have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings. Twente have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Cambuur have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Twente have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Cambuur average 0 goals per game this season. Cambuur average 47% possession. Twente average 0 goals per game this season. Twente average 55% possession.
The model gives 17% for both teams to score. The model gives 14% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Cambuur or Twente?
Our model rates Twente as the most likely outcome at 68% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Cambuur vs Twente?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 13 meetings: 9 Cambuur wins, 3 draws, 1 Twente wins.
League table
Netherlands. Eredivisie| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 7 |
| 3 |  Go Ahead Eagles | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 7 |
| 4 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 7 |
| 5 |  Groningen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 6 |  Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 7 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 4 |
| 8 |  Fortuna Sittard | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 9 |  Heerenveen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 10 |  Excelsior | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 |
| 11 |  N.E.C. | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 12 | Twente | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 13 |  Telstar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 15 |  Utrecht | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 16 | Feyenoord | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:8 | 0 |
| 17 | Heerenveen | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:9 | 0 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:12 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.