Juventus vs Parma: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Juventusvs
ParmaThe model puts Juventus at 67%. The model leans toward Juventus. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Parma (2-2-11).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Juventus have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Parma have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Juventus have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Juventus is priced at 1.37.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Juventus at 67%. The model puts the draw at 15%. The model puts Parma at 18%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Juventus. Juventus is priced at 1.37. The draw is priced at 6.15. Parma is priced at 6.15.
Juventus have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Parma have won 11 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Juventus have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Parma have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 41% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Juventus or Parma?
Our model rates Juventus as the most likely outcome at 67% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Juventus vs Parma?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 2 Juventus wins, 2 draws, 11 Parma wins.
League table
Italy. Serie A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lecce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Bologna 1909 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Frosinone Calcio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Genoa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 |  Udinese Calcio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Monza 1912 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Sassuolo Calcio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Unione Venezia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Internazionale Milano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 |  Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 |  Cagliari Calcio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 |  Torino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 19 | Parma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 20 |  Como | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.