CSKA Sofia vs OFI Crete: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
CSKA Sofiavs
OFI CreteThe model puts CSKA Sofia at 64%. The model leans toward CSKA Sofia. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours OFI Crete.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- CSKA Sofia have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- OFI Crete have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- CSKA Sofia have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- CSKA Sofia is priced at 1.42.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts CSKA Sofia at 64%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts OFI Crete at 16%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward CSKA Sofia. CSKA Sofia is priced at 1.42. The draw is priced at 4.66. OFI Crete is priced at 7.4.
CSKA Sofia have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
CSKA Sofia have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. OFI Crete have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 41% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, CSKA Sofia or OFI Crete?
Our model rates CSKA Sofia as the most likely outcome at 64% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for CSKA Sofia vs OFI Crete?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 CSKA Sofia wins, 0 draws, 0 OFI Crete wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.