FC Salzburg vs Mjallby: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
FC Salzburgvs
MjallbyThe model puts FC Salzburg at 79%. The model leans toward FC Salzburg. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours FC Salzburg.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- FC Salzburg have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Mjallby have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- FC Salzburg is priced at 1.205.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 2 | ||||
| 1 | 16 | 5 | ||||
| 2 | 19 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 15 | 5 | ||||
| 4 | 9 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 4 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts FC Salzburg at 79%. The model puts the draw at 13%. The model puts Mjallby at 7%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward FC Salzburg. FC Salzburg is priced at 1.205. The draw is priced at 6.8. Mjallby is priced at 12.5.
Mjallby have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
FC Salzburg have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Mjallby have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 26% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, FC Salzburg or Mjallby?
Our model rates FC Salzburg as the most likely outcome at 79% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for FC Salzburg vs Mjallby?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 FC Salzburg wins, 0 draws, 1 Mjallby wins.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.