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England. FA Cup

Northwich Victoria vs Bootle: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Northwich Victoriavs Bootle
Our predictionBootle to win
Model score: Low · 13/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Bootle at 45%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: low.

Win probabilities

1 · Northwich VictoriaDraw2 · Bootle
Full team comparison

Most likely scorelines

1-112.5%
0-110.6%
1-08.9%
1-28.8%
0-07.6%
2-17.4%
Team strength rating
Northwich Victoria
49
Bootle
57

Expected goals

1.18Northwich Victoria
xG
1.40Bootle
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score52%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Northwich Victoria Bootle

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Bootle win2.02Fair
Double chanceBootle or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0811731
1913941
25752
3232
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Northwich Victoria2.96+0.6%
1X2Draw3.74-0.2%
1X2Bootle2.02-0.4%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Northwich Victoria at 31%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Bootle at 45%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward Bootle. Northwich Victoria is priced at 2.963. The draw is priced at 3.74. Bootle is priced at 2.02.

The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Northwich Victoria or Bootle?

Our model rates Bootle as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Northwich Victoria vs Bootle?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.