Viktoria Plzen vs Crvena Zvezda: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Viktoria Plzenvs
Crvena ZvezdaThe model puts Viktoria Plzen at 48%. The model leans toward Viktoria Plzen. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Crvena Zvezda.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Viktoria Plzen have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Crvena Zvezda have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Viktoria Plzen have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Viktoria Plzen is priced at 1.925.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Viktoria Plzen at 48%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Crvena Zvezda at 29%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Viktoria Plzen. Viktoria Plzen is priced at 1.925. The draw is priced at 3.82. Crvena Zvezda is priced at 3.66.
Viktoria Plzen have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Viktoria Plzen have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Crvena Zvezda have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Viktoria Plzen or Crvena Zvezda?
Our model rates Viktoria Plzen as the most likely outcome at 48% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Viktoria Plzen vs Crvena Zvezda?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Viktoria Plzen wins, 0 draws, 0 Crvena Zvezda wins.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.