Lillestrom vs Egnatia: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Lillestromvs
EgnatiaThe model puts Lillestrom at 62%. The model leans toward Lillestrom. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Egnatia.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Lillestrom have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Egnatia have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Lillestrom is priced at 1.475.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Lillestrom at 62%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Egnatia at 17%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Lillestrom. Lillestrom is priced at 1.475. The draw is priced at 4.42. Egnatia is priced at 6.65.
The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Lillestrom have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Egnatia have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 43% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Lillestrom or Egnatia?
Our model rates Lillestrom as the most likely outcome at 62% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Lillestrom vs Egnatia?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Lillestrom wins, 1 draws, 0 Egnatia wins.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.