Ettifaq Dammam vs Al Nassr: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Ettifaq Dammamvs
Al NassrThe model puts Al Nassr at 73%. The model leans toward Al Nassr. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Al Nassr.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Ettifaq Dammam have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Al Nassr have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Ettifaq Dammam have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Al Nassr is priced at 1.264.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 16 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 2 |
| 1 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Ettifaq Dammam at 11%. The model puts the draw at 16%. The model puts Al Nassr at 73%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Al Nassr. Ettifaq Dammam is priced at 8.6. The draw is priced at 6.16. Al Nassr is priced at 1.264.
Ettifaq Dammam have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Al Nassr have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 5 of their head-to-head meetings.
Ettifaq Dammam have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Al Nassr have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Al Nassr are on 3 wins in a row.
The model gives 35% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Ettifaq Dammam or Al Nassr?
Our model rates Al Nassr as the most likely outcome at 73% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Ettifaq Dammam vs Al Nassr?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 4 Ettifaq Dammam wins, 5 draws, 6 Al Nassr wins.
League table
Saudi Arabia. Saudi Professional League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Nassr | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 6 |
| 2 |  Al-Hilal Riyadh | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 3 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 6 |
| 4 |  Al Shabab Riyadh | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Neom SC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 6 |  Al Kholood | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 7 |  Al-Ittihad Jeddah | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 8 |  Al-Qadisiyah | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Al Hazem Rass | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 10 |  Al Draih | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 11 |  Al-Khaleej | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:0 | 2 |
| 12 |  Al-Taawon | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 13 | Al Shabab Riyadh | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 14 |  Al-Faisaly Harmah | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 15 |  Al Feiha | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh Al-Ahsa | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 17 |  Abha | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 18 | Al Nassr | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:8 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.