Ararat - Armenia vs CS Universitatea Craiova: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Ararat - Armeniavs
CS Universitatea CraiovaThe model puts CS Universitatea Craiova at 44%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Ararat - Armenia have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- CS Universitatea Craiova have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- CS Universitatea Craiova is priced at 2.13.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Ararat - Armenia at 26%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts CS Universitatea Craiova at 44%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward CS Universitatea Craiova. Ararat - Armenia is priced at 3.7. The draw is priced at 3.192. CS Universitatea Craiova is priced at 2.13.
The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Ararat - Armenia have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. CS Universitatea Craiova have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Ararat - Armenia or CS Universitatea Craiova?
Our model rates CS Universitatea Craiova as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Ararat - Armenia vs CS Universitatea Craiova?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Ararat - Armenia wins, 1 draws, 0 CS Universitatea Craiova wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.