Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al-Riyadh SC: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Al Shabab Riyadhvs
Al-Riyadh SCThe model puts Al Shabab Riyadh at 53%. The model leans toward Al Shabab Riyadh. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Al-Riyadh SC (0-4-11).
- +Recent form favours Al Shabab Riyadh.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Al Shabab Riyadh have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Al-Riyadh SC have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Al Shabab Riyadh is priced at 1.755.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Al Shabab Riyadh at 53%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Al-Riyadh SC at 24%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Al Shabab Riyadh. Al Shabab Riyadh is priced at 1.755. The draw is priced at 3.905. Al-Riyadh SC is priced at 4.1.
Al-Riyadh SC have won 11 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Al Shabab Riyadh have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Al Shabab Riyadh are on 2 wins in a row. Al-Riyadh SC have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Al Shabab Riyadh or Al-Riyadh SC?
Our model rates Al Shabab Riyadh as the most likely outcome at 53% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al-Riyadh SC?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 0 Al Shabab Riyadh wins, 4 draws, 11 Al-Riyadh SC wins.
League table
Saudi Arabia. Saudi Professional League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Nassr | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 6 |
| 2 |  Al-Hilal Riyadh | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 3 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 6 |
| 4 | Al Shabab Riyadh | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Neom SC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 6 |  Al Kholood | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 7 |  Al-Ittihad Jeddah | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 8 |  Al-Qadisiyah | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Al Hazem Rass | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 10 |  Al Draih | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 11 |  Al-Khaleej | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:0 | 2 |
| 12 |  Al-Taawon | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 13 | Al Shabab Riyadh | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 14 |  Al-Faisaly Harmah | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 15 |  Al Feiha | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh Al-Ahsa | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 17 |  Abha | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 18 | Al Nassr | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:8 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.