Strasbourg vs RC Lens: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Strasbourgvs
RC LensThe model puts RC Lens at 41%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours RC Lens.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Strasbourg have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- RC Lens have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Strasbourg have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- RC Lens is priced at 2.392.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Strasbourg at 33%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts RC Lens at 41%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Strasbourg is priced at 2.78. The draw is priced at 3.62. RC Lens is priced at 2.392.
Strasbourg have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. RC Lens have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Strasbourg have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. RC Lens have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. RC Lens are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Strasbourg or RC Lens?
Our model rates RC Lens as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Strasbourg vs RC Lens?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 5 Strasbourg wins, 4 draws, 6 RC Lens wins.
League table
France. Ligue 1| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Olympique de Marseille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 2 | RC Lens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 4 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 5 |  Le Mans | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 6 |  Lorient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 7 |  Nice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 8 |  Troyes AC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 9 |  Paris | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 10 |  Le Havre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Lille OSC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  AS Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Paris Saint-Germain | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  Angers SCO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Stade Rennais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 |  Toulouse | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 17 |  Auxerre | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:5 | 0 |
| 18 | Strasbourg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.