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Germany. Bundesliga

Borussia Monchengladbach vs Elversberg: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Borussia Monchengladbach Borussia MonchengladbachvsElversberg Elversberg
Our predictionBorussia Monchengladbach to win
Model score: Medium · 57/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Borussia Monchengladbach at 58%. The model leans toward Borussia Monchengladbach. Confidence: medium.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Borussia MonchengladbachDraw2 · Elversberg
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.20+12.6%
1X2Elversberg5.50+2.4%
1X2Draw4.12-0.9%
1X2Borussia Monchengladbach1.59-1.5%
BTTSYes1.61-12.6%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Borussia Monchengladbach
68
Elversberg
50

Most likely scorelines

1-013.4%
2-012.6%
1-110.1%
2-19.6%
3-08.0%
0-07.1%

Recent form

Borussia MonchengladbachWLDLW
ElversbergWLWWW

Expected goals

1.89Borussia Monchengladbach
xG
0.76Elversberg
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score45%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Borussia Monchengladbach Elversberg

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Borussia Monchengladbach win1.59Fair (-1.5%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0752
113104
213104
3862
4431
511

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Borussia Monchengladbach at 58%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Elversberg at 20%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Borussia Monchengladbach. Borussia Monchengladbach is priced at 1.59. The draw is priced at 4.12. Elversberg is priced at 5.5.

Elversberg have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.

Borussia Monchengladbach have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Elversberg have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 45% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Borussia Monchengladbach or Elversberg?

Our model rates Borussia Monchengladbach as the most likely outcome at 58% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Borussia Monchengladbach vs Elversberg?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 0 Borussia Monchengladbach wins, 0 draws, 1 Elversberg wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Germany. Bundesliga
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Union Berlin00000:00
2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:00
3Bayern Munich00000:00
4Bayer 04 Leverkusen00000:00
5Werder Bremen00000:00
6Schalke 0400000:00
7Hamburger00000:00
8Borussia Dortmund00000:00
9Borussia Monchengladbach00000:00
10TSG 1899 Hoffenheim00000:00
111. Koln00000:00
121. FSV Mainz 0500000:00
13Freiburg00000:00
14Augsburg00000:00
15Paderborn 0700000:00
16VfB Stuttgart00000:00
17Elversberg00000:00
18RasenBallsport Leipzig00000:00
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Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.