VfB Stuttgart vs 1. Koln: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
VfB Stuttgartvs
1. KolnThe model puts VfB Stuttgart at 67%. The model leans toward VfB Stuttgart. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours VfB Stuttgart (9-4-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- VfB Stuttgart have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- 1. Koln have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- VfB Stuttgart have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings.
- VfB Stuttgart is priced at 1.45.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts VfB Stuttgart at 67%. The model puts the draw at 18%. The model puts 1. Koln at 15%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward VfB Stuttgart. VfB Stuttgart is priced at 1.45. The draw is priced at 4.98. 1. Koln is priced at 6.1.
VfB Stuttgart have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings. 1. Koln have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
VfB Stuttgart have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. 1. Koln have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. 1. Koln are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 39% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, VfB Stuttgart or 1. Koln?
Our model rates VfB Stuttgart as the most likely outcome at 67% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for VfB Stuttgart vs 1. Koln?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 9 VfB Stuttgart wins, 4 draws, 2 1. Koln wins.
League table
Germany. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Bayern Munich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 |  Schalke 04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Hamburger | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Borussia Monchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | 1. Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  1. FSV Mainz 05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Paderborn 07 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 |  Elversberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 |  RasenBallsport Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.