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Italy. Serie A

Monza 1912 vs Udinese Calcio: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Monza 1912 Monza 1912vsUdinese Calcio Udinese Calcio
Our predictionUdinese Calcio to win
Model score: Low · 14/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Udinese Calcio at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Monza 1912Draw2 · Udinese Calcio
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSYes1.89+3.3%
1X2Draw3.18+0.6%
1X2Monza 19123.26+0.3%
1X2Udinese Calcio2.31-0.9%
BTTSNo1.83-3.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

Monza 1912DLLLD
Udinese CalcioLLDLW

Most likely scorelines

1-112.5%
0-110.3%
1-09.2%
1-28.6%
2-17.6%
0-07.5%
Team strength rating
Monza 1912
39
Udinese Calcio
43

Expected goals

1.22Monza 1912
xG
1.37Udinese Calcio
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score52%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Monza 1912 Udinese Calcio

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Udinese Calcio win2.31Fair (-0.9%)
Double chanceUdinese Calcio or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0810731
1913941
26852
3232
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Monza 1912 at 29%. The model puts the draw at 30%. The model puts Udinese Calcio at 40%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market frames this as a close contest. Monza 1912 is priced at 3.26. The draw is priced at 3.18. Udinese Calcio is priced at 2.31.

Monza 1912 have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Udinese Calcio have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.

Monza 1912 have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Udinese Calcio have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Monza 1912 or Udinese Calcio?

Our model rates Udinese Calcio as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Monza 1912 vs Udinese Calcio?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 7 meetings: 2 Monza 1912 wins, 3 draws, 2 Udinese Calcio wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Italy. Serie A
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Internazionale Milano11004:13
2Napoli11002:03
3Cagliari Calcio11001:03
4Udinese Calcio10011:11
5Como10011:11
6Lecce00000:00
7Bologna 190900000:00
8Frosinone Calcio00000:00
9Sassuolo Calcio00000:00
10Unione Venezia00000:00
11Roma00000:00
12Juventus00000:00
13Fiorentina00000:00
14Milan00000:00
15Atalanta00000:00
16Lazio00000:00
17Torino00000:00
18Parma10100:10
19Genoa10100:20
20Monza 191210101:40
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Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.