Milan vs Unione Venezia: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Milanvs
Unione VeneziaThe model puts Milan at 64%. The model leans toward Milan. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Unione Venezia.
- −The head-to-head record favours Unione Venezia (1-1-8).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Milan have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Unione Venezia have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Milan have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Milan is priced at 1.38.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Milan at 64%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Unione Venezia at 17%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Milan. Milan is priced at 1.38. The draw is priced at 4.68. Unione Venezia is priced at 8.6.
Milan have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Unione Venezia have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Milan have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Unione Venezia have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 42% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Milan or Unione Venezia?
Our model rates Milan as the most likely outcome at 64% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Milan vs Unione Venezia?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 10 meetings: 1 Milan wins, 1 draws, 8 Unione Venezia wins.
League table
Italy. Serie A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Internazionale Milano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 2 |  Napoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 3 |  Cagliari Calcio | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 4 |  Udinese Calcio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 5 |  Como | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 6 |  Lecce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Bologna 1909 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Frosinone Calcio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Sassuolo Calcio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Unione Venezia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 |  Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 |  Torino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 |  Parma | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 19 |  Genoa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 20 |  Monza 1912 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.