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Italy. Serie A

Sassuolo Calcio vs Torino: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Sassuolo Calcio Sassuolo CalciovsTorino Torino
Our predictionSassuolo Calcio to win
Model score: Medium · 49/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Sassuolo Calcio at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Sassuolo CalcioDraw2 · Torino
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Sassuolo Calcio2.37+2.3%
BTTSNo1.97+1.0%
BTTSYes1.76-1.0%
1X2Draw3.26-1.1%
1X2Torino3.08-1.2%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

Sassuolo CalcioLWLWW
TorinoLLWDW
Team strength rating
Sassuolo Calcio
54
Torino
38

Most likely scorelines

1-112.1%
1-011.2%
2-19.3%
2-08.6%
0-17.9%
0-07.3%

Expected goals

1.54Sassuolo Calcio
xG
1.08Torino
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score52%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Sassuolo Calcio Torino

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Sassuolo Calcio win2.37Fair (+2.3%)
Double chanceSassuolo Calcio or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07842
1111272
29952
3453
422
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Sassuolo Calcio at 42%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Torino at 30%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market frames this as a close contest. Sassuolo Calcio is priced at 2.368. The draw is priced at 3.26. Torino is priced at 3.08.

Sassuolo Calcio have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. Torino have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 6 of their head-to-head meetings.

Sassuolo Calcio have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Torino have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Sassuolo Calcio or Torino?

Our model rates Sassuolo Calcio as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Sassuolo Calcio vs Torino?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 15 meetings: 7 Sassuolo Calcio wins, 6 draws, 2 Torino wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Italy. Serie A
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Internazionale Milano11004:13
2Napoli11002:03
3Cagliari Calcio11001:03
4Udinese Calcio10011:11
5Como10011:11
6Lecce00000:00
7Bologna 190900000:00
8Frosinone Calcio00000:00
9Sassuolo Calcio00000:00
10Unione Venezia00000:00
11Roma00000:00
12Juventus00000:00
13Fiorentina00000:00
14Milan00000:00
15Atalanta00000:00
16Lazio00000:00
17Torino00000:00
18Parma10100:10
19Genoa10100:20
20Monza 191210101:40
Promotion - Champions League (League stage) Promotion - Europa League (League stage) Promotion - UEFA Conference League (Qualification) Relegation - Serie B

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.