Cagliari Calcio vs Internazionale Milano: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Cagliari Calciovs
Internazionale MilanoThe model puts Internazionale Milano at 63%. The model leans toward Internazionale Milano. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Cagliari Calcio (12-2-1).
- +Recent form favours Cagliari Calcio.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Cagliari Calcio have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Internazionale Milano have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cagliari Calcio have won 12 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Internazionale Milano is priced at 1.47.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 |
| 1 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Cagliari Calcio at 17%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Internazionale Milano at 63%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Internazionale Milano. Cagliari Calcio is priced at 7.2. The draw is priced at 4.26. Internazionale Milano is priced at 1.47.
Cagliari Calcio have won 12 of the head-to-head meetings. Internazionale Milano have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Cagliari Calcio have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Internazionale Milano have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 43% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Cagliari Calcio or Internazionale Milano?
Our model rates Internazionale Milano as the most likely outcome at 63% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Cagliari Calcio vs Internazionale Milano?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 12 Cagliari Calcio wins, 2 draws, 1 Internazionale Milano wins.
League table
Italy. Serie A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internazionale Milano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 2 |  Napoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Cagliari Calcio | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 4 |  Udinese Calcio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 5 |  Como | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 6 |  Lecce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Bologna 1909 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Frosinone Calcio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Sassuolo Calcio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Unione Venezia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 |  Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 |  Torino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 |  Parma | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 19 |  Genoa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 20 |  Monza 1912 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.