Stade Rennais vs Le Mans: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Stade Rennaisvs
Le MansThe model puts Stade Rennais at 64%. The model leans toward Stade Rennais. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Stade Rennais.
- −The head-to-head record favours Le Mans (3-6-6).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Stade Rennais have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Le Mans have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Stade Rennais have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Stade Rennais is priced at 1.47.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Stade Rennais at 64%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Le Mans at 16%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Stade Rennais. Stade Rennais is priced at 1.47. The draw is priced at 4.64. Le Mans is priced at 6.3.
Stade Rennais have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Le Mans have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 6 of their head-to-head meetings.
Stade Rennais have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Le Mans have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 41% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Stade Rennais or Le Mans?
Our model rates Stade Rennais as the most likely outcome at 64% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Stade Rennais vs Le Mans?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 3 Stade Rennais wins, 6 draws, 6 Le Mans wins.
League table
France. Ligue 1| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Olympique de Marseille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  RC Lens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 |
| 3 |  Lille OSC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 5 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 6 | Le Mans | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 7 |  Lorient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 8 |  Nice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 9 |  Troyes AC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 10 |  Paris | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 11 |  Le Havre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  AS Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Paris Saint-Germain | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Stade Rennais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Angers SCO | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 16 |  Toulouse | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 17 |  Auxerre | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:5 | 0 |
| 18 |  Strasbourg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.