Feyenoord vs ADO Den Haag: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Feyenoordvs
ADO Den HaagThe model puts Feyenoord at 84%. The model leans toward Feyenoord. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Feyenoord.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Feyenoord have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- ADO Den Haag have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Feyenoord have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Feyenoord is priced at 1.125.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 2 | ||||
| 1 | 22 | 5 | ||||
| 2 | 22 | 5 | ||||
| 3 | 15 | 3 | ||||
| 4 | 7 | 2 | ||||
| 5 | 3 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Feyenoord at 84%. The model puts the draw at 11%. The model puts ADO Den Haag at 5%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Feyenoord. Feyenoord is priced at 1.125. The draw is priced at 9.3. ADO Den Haag is priced at 17.
Feyenoord have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. ADO Den Haag have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Feyenoord have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. ADO Den Haag have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Feyenoord average 2 goals per game this season. Feyenoord average 53% possession. ADO Den Haag average 0 goals per game this season. ADO Den Haag average 46% possession.
The model gives 17% for both teams to score. The model gives 39% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Feyenoord or ADO Den Haag?
Our model rates Feyenoord as the most likely outcome at 84% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Feyenoord vs ADO Den Haag?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 5 Feyenoord wins, 4 draws, 6 ADO Den Haag wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
League table
Netherlands. Eredivisie| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 7 |
| 3 |  Go Ahead Eagles | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 7 |
| 5 |  Groningen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 6 |  Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 7 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 4 |
| 8 |  Fortuna Sittard | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 9 |  Heerenveen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 10 |  Excelsior | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 |
| 11 |  N.E.C. | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 12 |  Twente | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 13 |  Telstar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 15 |  Utrecht | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 16 | Feyenoord | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:8 | 0 |
| 17 | Heerenveen | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:9 | 0 |
| 18 |  Cambuur | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:12 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.