Patriotas Boyaca vs Atletico Cali: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Patriotas Boyacavs
Atletico CaliThe model puts Patriotas Boyaca at 69%. The model leans toward Patriotas Boyaca. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Atletico Cali (0-4-5).
- +Recent form favours Patriotas Boyaca.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Patriotas Boyaca have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Atletico Cali have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Patriotas Boyaca is priced at 1.295.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 16 | 9 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Patriotas Boyaca at 69%. The model puts the draw at 18%. The model puts Atletico Cali at 13%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Patriotas Boyaca. Patriotas Boyaca is priced at 1.295. The draw is priced at 4.7. Atletico Cali is priced at 8.75.
Atletico Cali have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Patriotas Boyaca have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Atletico Cali have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 37% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Patriotas Boyaca or Atletico Cali?
Our model rates Patriotas Boyaca as the most likely outcome at 69% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Patriotas Boyaca vs Atletico Cali?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 9 meetings: 0 Patriotas Boyaca wins, 4 draws, 5 Atletico Cali wins.
League table
Colombia. Categoria Primera B - Clausura| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Leones | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:2 | 8 |
| 2 |  Corporacion Deportiva Real Cartagena | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 7 |
| 3 |  Independiente Yumbo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 4 | Patriotas Boyaca | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 5 |
| 5 |  Real Cundinamarca | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 5 |
| 6 |  Orsomarso | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 7 |  Deportes Quindío | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:3 | 5 |
| 8 |  Tigres Futbol Club | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 9 |  Envigado | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 10 |  Boca Juniors De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 11 |  Bogota | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 12 |  Real Santander | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | 3 |
| 13 |  Barranquilla | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 2 |
| 14 | Atletico Cali | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 2 |
| 15 |  Internacional Palmira | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | 2 |
| 16 |  Union Magdalena | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.