Al Draih vs Al Kholood: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Al Draihvs
Al KholoodThe model puts Al Draih at 52%. The model leans toward Al Draih. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Al Kholood.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Al Draih have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Al Kholood have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Al Draih have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Al Draih is priced at 1.743.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Al Draih at 52%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Al Kholood at 25%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Al Draih. Al Draih is priced at 1.743. The draw is priced at 3.88. Al Kholood is priced at 4.2.
Al Draih have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Al Draih have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Al Kholood have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Al Kholood are on 3 wins in a row.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Al Draih or Al Kholood?
Our model rates Al Draih as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Al Draih vs Al Kholood?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 1 Al Draih wins, 1 draws, 0 Al Kholood wins.
League table
Saudi Arabia. Saudi Professional League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Nassr | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 6 |
| 2 |  Al-Hilal Riyadh | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 3 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 6 |
| 4 |  Ettifaq Dammam | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Al-Qadisiyah | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 6 |  Neom SC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 7 | Al Kholood | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 8 |  Al-Ittihad Jeddah | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 9 |  Al Hazem Rass | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 10 | Al Draih | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 11 |  Al-Khaleej | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:0 | 2 |
| 12 |  Al-Taawon | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 13 |  Al Shabab Riyadh | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 14 |  Al-Faisaly Harmah | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 15 |  Al Feiha | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh Al-Ahsa | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 17 |  Abha | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 18 |  Al-Riyadh SC | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:8 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.