Al-Riyadh SC vs Neom SC: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Al-Riyadh SCvs
Neom SCThe model puts Neom SC at 45%. The model leans toward Neom SC. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Al-Riyadh SC.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Al-Riyadh SC have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Neom SC have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Al-Riyadh SC have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Neom SC is priced at 1.963.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Al-Riyadh SC at 30%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Neom SC at 45%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Neom SC. Al-Riyadh SC is priced at 3.51. The draw is priced at 3.635. Neom SC is priced at 1.963.
Al-Riyadh SC have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Neom SC have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
Al-Riyadh SC have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Al-Riyadh SC are on 3 wins in a row. Neom SC have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Al-Riyadh SC or Neom SC?
Our model rates Neom SC as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Al-Riyadh SC vs Neom SC?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 2 Al-Riyadh SC wins, 0 draws, 2 Neom SC wins.
League table
Saudi Arabia. Saudi Professional League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Nassr | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 |  Al-Ittihad Jeddah | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 3 |  Al-Hilal Riyadh | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 4 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 6 |
| 5 |  Al-Qadisiyah | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 6 |  Ettifaq Dammam | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Neom SC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 8 |  Al Kholood | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 5 |
| 9 |  Al Draih | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 10 |  Al-Khaleej | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 11 |  Al Hazem Rass | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 12 |  Al-Taawon | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 13 |  Al Shabab Riyadh | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 2 |
| 14 |  Al-Faisaly Harmah | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 15 |  Al-Fateh Al-Ahsa | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | 1 |
| 16 |  Al Feiha | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | 1 |
| 17 |  Abha | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 18 | Al-Riyadh SC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:11 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.