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AFC Champions League Elite

Al Shamal vs Al-Ittihad Jeddah: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Al Shamal Al ShamalvsAl-Ittihad Jeddah Al-Ittihad Jeddah
Our predictionAl-Ittihad Jeddah to win
Model score: Low · 31/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Al-Ittihad Jeddah at 55%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: low.

Win probabilities

1 · Al Shamal21%
Draw24%
2 · Al-Ittihad Jeddah55%
1 · Al ShamalDraw2 · Al-Ittihad Jeddah
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.18+9.4%
1X2Al Shamal4.62+0.7%
1X2Draw3.96-0.2%
1X2Al-Ittihad Jeddah1.71-0.5%
BTTSYes1.61-9.4%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Al Shamal
43
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
63

Most likely scorelines

0-112.8%
1-111.6%
0-210.6%
1-29.6%
0-07.8%
1-07.0%

Expected goals

0.90Al Shamal
xG
1.65Al-Ittihad Jeddah
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score48%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Al Shamal Al-Ittihad Jeddah

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Al-Ittihad Jeddah win1.71Fair
Double chanceAl-Ittihad Jeddah or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
08131162
17121052
23542
321
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Al Shamal at 21%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Al-Ittihad Jeddah at 55%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward Al-Ittihad Jeddah. Al Shamal is priced at 4.62. The draw is priced at 3.96. Al-Ittihad Jeddah is priced at 1.71.

The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Al Shamal or Al-Ittihad Jeddah?

Our model rates Al-Ittihad Jeddah as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Al Shamal vs Al-Ittihad Jeddah?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

5.124.243.362.471.59
Home 4.62 Draw 3.96 Away 1.71

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Promotion - Champions League (Play-off: Round of 16)

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.