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AFC Champions League Elite

Al-Qadisiyah vs Al Wasl: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Al-Qadisiyah Al-QadisiyahvsAl Wasl Al Wasl
Our predictionAl-Qadisiyah to win
Model score: Medium · 50/100
Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Al-Qadisiyah at 70%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · Al-Qadisiyah70%
Draw18%
2 · Al Wasl12%
1 · Al-QadisiyahDraw2 · Al Wasl
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.16+21.1%
1X2Al-Qadisiyah1.37+0.3%
1X2Al Wasl7.70-0.1%
1X2Draw5.20-0.2%
BTTSYes1.62-21.1%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Al-Qadisiyah
72
Al Wasl
38

Most likely scorelines

2-015.9%
1-014.8%
3-011.4%
2-18.4%
1-17.8%
0-06.9%

Expected goals

2.15Al-Qadisiyah
xG
0.53Al Wasl
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score36%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Al-Qadisiyah Al Wasl

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Al-Qadisiyah win1.37Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
074
11582
21682
31162
463
531

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Al-Qadisiyah at 70%. The model puts the draw at 18%. The model puts Al Wasl at 12%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Al-Qadisiyah. Al-Qadisiyah is priced at 1.368. The draw is priced at 5.2. Al Wasl is priced at 7.7.

The model gives 36% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Al-Qadisiyah or Al Wasl?

Our model rates Al-Qadisiyah as the most likely outcome at 70% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Al-Qadisiyah vs Al Wasl?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

8.096.394.693.001.30
Home 1.37 Draw 5.20 Away 7.70

League table

AFC Champions League Elite - League stage
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2Beijing Guoan00000:006a9be6497762417de84d7674
3Kyoto Sanga00000:006a884b457762417de8362217
4Kashiwa Reysol00000:006a9be6497762417de84d7673
5Vissel Kobe00000:006a9c0bf07762417de84d9ab6
6Kashima Antlers00000:00
7Gamba Osaka00000:006a884b457762417de8362218
8Daejeon Hana Citizen00000:006a884b457762417de8362217
9Buriram United00000:006a9bfe0c7762417de84d8c59
10Pohang Steelers00000:006a9be6497762417de84d7674
11Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors00000:006a9be6497762417de84d7673
12Shanghai Port00000:006a9bfe0c7762417de84d8c52
13Port00000:006a9c0bf07762417de84d9ab6
14Darul Takzim00000:00
15Ratchaburi00000:006a9bfe0c7762417de84d8c52
16Hanoi Police00000:006a884b457762417de8362218
Promotion - Champions League (Play-off: Round of 16)

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.