VfB Stuttgart vs Viking: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts VfB Stuttgart at 76%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −VfB Stuttgart are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Viking are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- VfB Stuttgart will be without Diehl J., Seimen, Drljaca, Jaquez L., Zagadou, Nartey N., Stergiou L., Thomas, Hendriks R..
- Viking will be without Baertelsen A., Bjorshol, Falchener, Kelvin Frimpong, Roseth, Berisha V, Haugen.
- VfB Stuttgart is priced at 1.235.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 15 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 18 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 13 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 8 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts VfB Stuttgart at 76%. The model puts the draw at 14%. The model puts Viking at 10%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward VfB Stuttgart. VfB Stuttgart is priced at 1.235. The draw is priced at 6.55. Viking is priced at 11.
The model gives 30% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, VfB Stuttgart or Viking?
Our model rates VfB Stuttgart as the most likely outcome at 76% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for VfB Stuttgart vs Viking?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Match statistics
VfB Stuttgart
- 1Bredlow
- 4Vagnoman
- 6Stiller A.
- 7Mittelstadt M
- 10Fuhrich
- 11El Khannous
- 17Pejcinovic
- 21Promel
- 24Chabot
- 26Undav
- 29Jeltsch
- Diehl J. (Missing Player)
- Seimen (Missing Player)
- Drljaca (Missing Player)
- Jaquez L. (Missing Player)
- Zagadou (Missing Player)
- Nartey N. (Missing Player)
- Stergiou L. (Missing Player)
- Thomas (Missing Player)
- Hendriks R. (Questionable)
Viking
- 1Ostbo
- 2Хёуген
- 6Stensness G.
- 7Askildsen
- 8Bell J.
- 10Tripic
- 19Cosic
- 20Christiansen P.
- 24Auckland
- 27Daland J.
- 29Moi
- Baertelsen A. (Missing Player)
- Bjorshol (Missing Player)
- Falchener (Questionable)
- Kelvin Frimpong (Missing Player)
- Roseth (Missing Player)
- Berisha V (Missing Player)
- Haugen (Questionable)
League table
UEFA Champions League (League stage)| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 | |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 | |
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 | |
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 31 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 | |
| 32 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 | |
| 33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 | |
| 34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 | |
| 35 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 | |
| 36 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.