Bayern Munich vs Bodo-Glimt: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Bayern Munich at 87%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Bayern Munich are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Bodo-Glimt are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Bayern Munich will be without Buchmann, Gnabry.
- Bodo-Glimt will be without Gundersen J., Mikkelsen, Riisnaes, Sjong, Evjen Ha..
- Bayern Munich is priced at 1.08.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 2 | ||||
| 1 | 17 | 4 | ||||
| 2 | 20 | 5 | ||||
| 3 | 17 | 4 | ||||
| 4 | 10 | 2 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Bayern Munich at 87%. The model puts the draw at 8%. The model puts Bodo-Glimt at 6%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Bayern Munich. Bayern Munich is priced at 1.08. The draw is priced at 12. Bodo-Glimt is priced at 21.
The model gives 19% for both teams to score. The model gives 51% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Bayern Munich or Bodo-Glimt?
Our model rates Bayern Munich as the most likely outcome at 87% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Bayern Munich vs Bodo-Glimt?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Match statistics
Bayern Munich
- 1Neuer
- 2Upamecano
- 4Tah J.
- 6Kimmich
- 9Kane
- 14Diaz
- 17Olise M.
- 19Davis
- 27Laimer
- 34Saibari I.
- 45Pavlovic
- Buchmann (Missing Player)
- Gnabry (Questionable)
Bodo-Glimt
- 4Bjortuft
- 5Aleesami
- 7Berg P.
- 8Auckland
- 9Helmersen A.
- 10Hauge J.
- 11Blomberg
- 12Khaikin N.
- 15Bjorkan F.A.
- 19Fet S.
- 20Sjovold
- Gundersen J. (Missing Player)
- Mikkelsen (Missing Player)
- Riisnaes (Missing Player)
- Sjong (Missing Player)
- Evjen Ha. (Missing Player)
League table
UEFA Champions League (League stage)| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 | |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 | |
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 | |
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 31 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 | |
| 32 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 | |
| 33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 | |
| 34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 | |
| 35 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 | |
| 36 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.