UEFA Champions League

Paris Saint-Germain vs Slovan Bratislava: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

← Match page: score & lineups

Paris Saint-Germainvs

Slovan Bratislava

Our predictionParis Saint-Germain to win

Model score: High · 92/100

Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Paris Saint-Germain at 92%. The model leans toward Paris Saint-Germain. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

+Slovan Bratislava are dealing with notable absentees.

Win probabilities

1 · Paris Saint-Germain92%

Draw6%

2 · Slovan Bratislava2%

1 · Paris Saint-GermainDraw2 · Slovan Bratislava

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.44+18.7%

1X2Paris Saint-Germain1.03+0.2%

1X2Slovan Bratislava42.00-0.1%

1X2Draw16.00-0.1%

BTTSYes2.62-18.7%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Team strength rating

Paris Saint-Germain

Slovan Bratislava

Recent form

Paris Saint-GermainLDDLW

Slovan BratislavaLWLWW

Most likely scorelines

2-020.6%

3-017.8%

1-015.9%

4-011.5%

0-06.1%

5-06.0%

Expected goals

2.59Paris Saint-Germain

0.20Slovan Bratislava

Over 2.5 goals53%

Both teams to score17%

Match DNA

Paris Saint-Germain Slovan Bratislava

Key points

Paris Saint-Germain have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Slovan Bratislava have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
Paris Saint-Germain have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Paris Saint-Germain will be without Digne.
Slovan Bratislava will be without Kianga, Griger, Kukharevych.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Paris Saint-Germain win1.03Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1
0	6	1
1	16	3
2	21	4
3	18	4
4	12	2
5	6	1

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Paris Saint-Germain at 92%. The model puts the draw at 6%. The model puts Slovan Bratislava at 2%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Paris Saint-Germain. Paris Saint-Germain is priced at 1.03. The draw is priced at 16. Slovan Bratislava is priced at 42.

Paris Saint-Germain have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.

Paris Saint-Germain have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Slovan Bratislava have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 17% for both teams to score. The model gives 53% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Paris Saint-Germain or Slovan Bratislava?

Our model rates Paris Saint-Germain as the most likely outcome at 92% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Paris Saint-Germain vs Slovan Bratislava?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 2 meetings: 1 Paris Saint-Germain wins, 1 draws, 0 Slovan Bratislava wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Match statistics

Player of the matchMatsuokaSlovan Bratislava8.3

Paris Saint-Germain

Starting XI

2Hakimi7.5
5Aoas Correa7.2
7Kvaratskhelia K.6.4
8Ruiz Fa.8.2
10Dembele6.8
14Doue D.7.6
17Machado Vi.7.5
25Mendes4.7
39Safonov M.5.3
51Tenorio7.5
87Goncalves Neves7.3

Unavailable

Digne (Questionable)

Coach: Luis Enrique

Slovan Bratislava

Starting XI

2Kozlovsky S.7.3
3Pokorny6.4
6Wimmer6.7
11Barseghyan7.0
12Bajric K.7.4
21Camara7.0
28Blackman C.6.7
70Jesus Martinez C.7.5
71Takac6.5
88Matsuoka8.3
99Sporar7.1

Unavailable

Kianga (Missing Player)
Griger (Missing Player)
Kukharevych (Missing Player)

Coach: Yaya Toure

League table

UEFA Champions League (League stage)

#	Team	GP	W	L	G	Pts
1	Manchester City	1	1	0	2:0	3
2	Aston Villa	1	1	0	3:2	3
3	Real Betis	1	1	0	3:2	3
4	Borussia Dortmund	1	1	0	3:2	3
5	Real Madrid	1	1	0	2:1	3
6	AEK Athens	1	1	0	1:0	3
7	Arsenal	0	0	0	0:0	0
8	Liverpool	0	0	0	0:0	0
9	Manchester United	0	0	0	0:0	0
10	Paris Saint-Germain	0	0	0	0:0	0
11	Napoli	0	0	0	0:0	0
12	Slavia Prague	0	0	0	0:0	0
13	RC Lens	0	0	0	0:0	0
14	Slovan Bratislava	0	0	0	0:0	0
15	Bayern Munich	0	0	0	0:0	0
16	Roma	0	0	0	0:0	0
17	PSV Eindhoven	0	0	0	0:0	0
18	Feyenoord	0	0	0	0:0	0
19	Barcelona	0	0	0	0:0	0
20	Atletico Madrid	0	0	0	0:0	0
21	VfB Stuttgart	0	0	0	0:0	0
22	Viking	0	0	0	0:0	0
23	Bodo-Glimt	0	0	0	0:0	0
24	Sporting Clube de Portugal	0	0	0	0:0	0
25	Galatasaray	0	0	0	0:0	0
26	Fenerbahce	0	0	0	0:0	0
27	Shakhtar Donetsk	0	0	0	0:0	0
28	Como	0	0	0	0:0	0
29	RasenBallsport Leipzig	0	0	0	0:0	0
30	Sabah Baku	0	0	0	0:0	0
31	Villarreal	1	0	1	2:3	0
32	Lille OSC	1	0	1	2:3	0
33	Club Brugge	1	0	1	2:3	0
34	Internazionale Milano	1	0	1	1:2	0
35	LASK Linz	1	0	1	0:1	0
36	Porto	1	0	1	0:2	0