Slavia Prague vs RC Lens: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Slavia Praguevs
RC LensThe model puts Slavia Prague at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Slavia Prague.
- −Slavia Prague are dealing with notable absentees.
- +RC Lens are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Slavia Prague have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- RC Lens have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Slavia Prague will be without Moses, Ogbu I., Ouanda, Souleyman, Zima D., Kolar O., Provod, Holes.
- RC Lens will be without Baidoo, Jourdren, Mezian Soares, Titraoui, Abdulhamid S., Moussa Diarra, Nawrocki, Udol, Chaves.
- Slavia Prague is priced at 2.54.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Slavia Prague at 40%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts RC Lens at 34%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Slavia Prague is priced at 2.54. The draw is priced at 3.44. RC Lens is priced at 2.705.
RC Lens have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Slavia Prague have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. RC Lens have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Slavia Prague or RC Lens?
Our model rates Slavia Prague as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Slavia Prague vs RC Lens?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 0 Slavia Prague wins, 1 draws, 1 RC Lens wins.
Match statistics
Slavia Prague
- 2Chaloupek
- 10Sturm
- 14Isife
- 20Ayaosi
- 23Sadilek
- 25Chory T.
- 27Vlcek T.
- 30Nowak O.
- 35Markovic J.
- 39Jurasek D.
- 42Konecny M.
- Moses (Missing Player)
- Ogbu I. (Missing Player)
- Ouanda (Missing Player)
- Souleyman (Missing Player)
- Zima D. (Questionable)
- Kolar O. (Missing Player)
- Provod (Missing Player)
- Holes (Questionable)
RC Lens
- 5Bulatovic
- 10Thauvin
- 11Kadile
- 19Sima
- 21Haidara A.
- 22Skoras
- 25Ganiou
- 26Todibo
- 29Ivanovic
- 32Antonio
- 40Risser
- Baidoo (Missing Player)
- Jourdren (Missing Player)
- Mezian Soares (Missing Player)
- Titraoui (Questionable)
- Abdulhamid S. (Questionable)
- Moussa Diarra (Missing Player)
- Nawrocki (Missing Player)
- Udol (Questionable)
- Chaves (Missing Player)
League table
UEFA Champions League (League stage)| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 4 |  Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 5 |  Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 6 |  AEK Athens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Liverpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Manchester United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Paris Saint-Germain | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Slavia Prague | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | RC Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  Slovan Bratislava | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Bayern Munich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 |  Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 |  PSV Eindhoven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 |  Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 19 |  Barcelona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 20 |  Atletico Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 21 |  VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 22 |  Viking | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 23 |  Bodo-Glimt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 24 |  Sporting Clube de Portugal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 25 |  Galatasaray | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 26 |  Fenerbahce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 27 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 28 |  Como | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 29 |  RasenBallsport Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 30 |  Sabah Baku | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 31 |  Villarreal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 32 |  Lille OSC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 33 |  Club Brugge | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 34 |  Internazionale Milano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 35 |  LASK Linz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 36 |  Porto | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.