UEFA Champions League

Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Galatasaray: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

← Match page: score & lineups

Sporting Clube de Portugalvs

Galatasaray

Our predictionSporting Clube de Portugal to win

Model score: Medium · 50/100

Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Sporting Clube de Portugal at 56%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

−Sporting Clube de Portugal are dealing with notable absentees.
+Galatasaray are dealing with notable absentees.

Win probabilities

1 · Sporting Clube de Portugal56%

Draw23%

2 · Galatasaray22%

1 · Sporting Clube de PortugalDraw2 · Galatasaray

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.36+13.9%

1X2Galatasaray4.54+0.7%

1X2Sporting Clube de Portugal1.71+0.2%

1X2Draw4.00-0.9%

BTTSYes1.53-13.9%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Team strength rating

Sporting Clube de Portugal

Galatasaray

Most likely scorelines

1-013.0%

2-011.9%

1-110.6%

2-19.7%

3-07.3%

0-07.1%

Expected goals

1.83Sporting Clube de Portugal

0.81Galatasaray

Over 2.5 goals49%

Both teams to score47%

Match DNA

Sporting Clube de Portugal Galatasaray

Key points

Sporting Clube de Portugal will be without Abdoulaye, Simoes A., Santos Nu..
Galatasaray will be without Guner, Nas, Unyay, Aydin, Ayhan K., Guvenc G., Yilmaz, Karatas, Lemina, Osimhen Vi., Singo W..
Sporting Clube de Portugal is priced at 1.712.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Sporting Clube de Portugal win1.71Fair

Double chanceSporting Clube de Portugal or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3
0	7	6	2
1	13	11	4	1
2	12	10	4	1
3	7	6	2
4	3	3	1
5	1

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Sporting Clube de Portugal at 56%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Galatasaray at 22%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Sporting Clube de Portugal. Sporting Clube de Portugal is priced at 1.712. The draw is priced at 4. Galatasaray is priced at 4.54.

The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Sporting Clube de Portugal or Galatasaray?

Our model rates Sporting Clube de Portugal as the most likely outcome at 56% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Galatasaray?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

Match statistics

Player of the matchAltimiraSporting Clube de Portugal8.3

Sporting Clube de Portugal

Starting XI

1Silva6.6
5Altimira8.3
6Debast6.4
10Catamo7.7
17Zalazar R.6.4
20Araujo7.5
22Fresneda7.3
25Inacio6.8
58Goncalves Fa.6.2
77Doumbia6.9
97Suarez7.6

Unavailable

Abdoulaye (Missing Player)
Simoes A. (Missing Player)
Santos Nu. (Missing Player)

Coach: Rowllin Borges

Galatasaray

Starting XI

1Cakir U.7.7
4Jacobs6.8
6Sanchez Dav.7.5
7Sallai R.7.3
8Sara Ga.7.8
11Akgun Yu.7.6
21Gul D.6.7
34Torreira7.5
42Bardakci6.8
53Yilmaz6.6
83Batrakov7.7

Unavailable

Guner (Missing Player)
Nas (Missing Player)
Unyay (Missing Player)
Aydin (Missing Player)
Ayhan K. (Missing Player)
Guvenc G. (Missing Player)
Yilmaz (Missing Player)
Karatas (Missing Player)
Lemina (Missing Player)
Osimhen Vi. (Missing Player)
Singo W. (Missing Player)

Coach: Бурук

League table

UEFA Champions League (League stage)

#	Team	GP	W	L	G	Pts
1	Manchester City	1	1	0	2:0	3
2	Aston Villa	1	1	0	3:2	3
3	Real Betis	1	1	0	3:2	3
4	Borussia Dortmund	1	1	0	3:2	3
5	Real Madrid	1	1	0	2:1	3
6	AEK Athens	1	1	0	1:0	3
7	Arsenal	0	0	0	0:0	0
8	Liverpool	0	0	0	0:0	0
9	Manchester United	0	0	0	0:0	0
10	Paris Saint-Germain	0	0	0	0:0	0
11	Napoli	0	0	0	0:0	0
12	Slavia Prague	0	0	0	0:0	0
13	RC Lens	0	0	0	0:0	0
14	Slovan Bratislava	0	0	0	0:0	0
15	Bayern Munich	0	0	0	0:0	0
16	Roma	0	0	0	0:0	0
17	PSV Eindhoven	0	0	0	0:0	0
18	Feyenoord	0	0	0	0:0	0
19	Barcelona	0	0	0	0:0	0
20	Atletico Madrid	0	0	0	0:0	0
21	VfB Stuttgart	0	0	0	0:0	0
22	Viking	0	0	0	0:0	0
23	Bodo-Glimt	0	0	0	0:0	0
24	Sporting Clube de Portugal	0	0	0	0:0	0
25	Galatasaray	0	0	0	0:0	0
26	Fenerbahce	0	0	0	0:0	0
27	Shakhtar Donetsk	0	0	0	0:0	0
28	Como	0	0	0	0:0	0
29	RasenBallsport Leipzig	0	0	0	0:0	0
30	Sabah Baku	0	0	0	0:0	0
31	Villarreal	1	0	1	2:3	0
32	Lille OSC	1	0	1	2:3	0
33	Club Brugge	1	0	1	2:3	0
34	Internazionale Milano	1	0	1	1:2	0
35	LASK Linz	1	0	1	0:1	0
36	Porto	1	0	1	0:2	0