UEFA Champions League

Como vs RasenBallsport Leipzig: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

← Match page: score & lineups

Comovs

RasenBallsport Leipzig

Our predictionComo to win

Model score: Medium · 46/100

Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Como at 52%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

−Como are dealing with notable absentees.
+RasenBallsport Leipzig are dealing with notable absentees.

Win probabilities

1 · Como52%

Draw23%

2 · RasenBallsport Leipzig25%

1 · ComoDraw2 · RasenBallsport Leipzig

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.40+12.3%

1X2RasenBallsport Leipzig3.90+0.5%

1X2Como1.83+0.4%

1X2Draw3.96-0.9%

BTTSYes1.52-12.3%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Team strength rating

Como

RasenBallsport Leipzig

Most likely scorelines

1-012.5%

1-111.2%

2-010.8%

2-19.7%

0-07.2%

0-16.4%

Expected goals

1.74Como

0.90RasenBallsport Leipzig

Over 2.5 goals49%

Both teams to score49%

Match DNA

Como RasenBallsport Leipzig

Key points

Como will be without Addai, Lahdo, Vigorito M., Goldaniga, Caqueret, Kambwala.
RasenBallsport Leipzig will be without Gebel, Gruda, Ouedraogo, Sani, Baumgartner C., Kone, Lukeba, Райц, Romulo, Zingerle L..
Como is priced at 1.832.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Como win1.83Fair

Double chanceComo or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3
0	7	6	3
1	12	11	5	2
2	11	10	4	1
3	6	6	3
4	3	2	1
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Como at 52%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts RasenBallsport Leipzig at 25%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Como. Como is priced at 1.832. The draw is priced at 3.96. RasenBallsport Leipzig is priced at 3.9.

The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Como or RasenBallsport Leipzig?

Our model rates Como as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Como vs RasenBallsport Leipzig?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

Match statistics

Player of the matchOrban W.RasenBallsport Leipzig9.3

Como

Starting XI

1Butez6.9
3Valle6.2
4Naveros6.1
5Perrone6.3
7Da Cunha L.7.1
9Douvikas7.6
10Paz Martinez6.5
11Diao6.8
20Baturina6.6
27Couto6.3
99Chalobah T.7.4

Unavailable

Addai (Missing Player)
Lahdo (Missing Player)
Vigorito M. (Missing Player)
Goldaniga (Missing Player)
Caqueret (Missing Player)
Kambwala (Missing Player)

RasenBallsport Leipzig

Starting XI

3Esteve6.9
4Orban W.9.3
6Banzuzi9.0
7Nusa A.8.9
11Bakayoko6.9
13Seiwald N.7.0
17Baku B.8.7
21El Aynaoui6.4
22Raum8.2
26Vandevoordt7.1
28Nkunku Ch.6.0

Unavailable

Gebel (Questionable)
Gruda (Questionable)
Ouedraogo (Questionable)
Sani (Missing Player)
Baumgartner C. (Missing Player)
Kone (Missing Player)
Lukeba (Questionable)
Райц (Missing Player)
Romulo (Questionable)
Zingerle L. (Missing Player)

League table

UEFA Champions League (League stage)

#	Team	GP	W	L	G	Pts
1	Manchester City	1	1	0	2:0	3
2	Aston Villa	1	1	0	3:2	3
3	Real Betis	1	1	0	3:2	3
4	Borussia Dortmund	1	1	0	3:2	3
5	Real Madrid	1	1	0	2:1	3
6	AEK Athens	1	1	0	1:0	3
7	Arsenal	0	0	0	0:0	0
8	Liverpool	0	0	0	0:0	0
9	Manchester United	0	0	0	0:0	0
10	Paris Saint-Germain	0	0	0	0:0	0
11	Napoli	0	0	0	0:0	0
12	Slavia Prague	0	0	0	0:0	0
13	RC Lens	0	0	0	0:0	0
14	Slovan Bratislava	0	0	0	0:0	0
15	Bayern Munich	0	0	0	0:0	0
16	Roma	0	0	0	0:0	0
17	PSV Eindhoven	0	0	0	0:0	0
18	Feyenoord	0	0	0	0:0	0
19	Barcelona	0	0	0	0:0	0
20	Atletico Madrid	0	0	0	0:0	0
21	VfB Stuttgart	0	0	0	0:0	0
22	Viking	0	0	0	0:0	0
23	Bodo-Glimt	0	0	0	0:0	0
24	Sporting Clube de Portugal	0	0	0	0:0	0
25	Galatasaray	0	0	0	0:0	0
26	Fenerbahce	0	0	0	0:0	0
27	Shakhtar Donetsk	0	0	0	0:0	0
28	Como	0	0	0	0:0	0
29	RasenBallsport Leipzig	0	0	0	0:0	0
30	Sabah Baku	0	0	0	0:0	0
31	Villarreal	1	0	1	2:3	0
32	Lille OSC	1	0	1	2:3	0
33	Club Brugge	1	0	1	2:3	0
34	Internazionale Milano	1	0	1	1:2	0
35	LASK Linz	1	0	1	0:1	0
36	Porto	1	0	1	0:2	0