UEFA Europa League

Sturm Graz vs Stade Rennais: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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Sturm Grazvs

Stade Rennais

Our predictionStade Rennais to win

Model score: Low · 19/100

Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Stade Rennais at 47%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: low.

Win probabilities

1 · Sturm Graz28%

Draw24%

2 · Stade Rennais47%

1 · Sturm GrazDraw2 · Stade Rennais

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.30+8.1%

1X2Sturm Graz3.44+0.6%

1X2Draw3.86-0.2%

1X2Stade Rennais1.98-0.4%

BTTSYes1.56-8.1%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Most likely scorelines

1-112.4%

0-111.2%

1-29.1%

1-08.4%

0-28.2%

0-07.6%

Team strength rating

Sturm Graz

Stade Rennais

Expected goals

1.10Sturm Graz

1.47Stade Rennais

Over 2.5 goals48%

Both teams to score51%

Match DNA

Sturm Graz Stade Rennais

Key points

Stade Rennais is priced at 1.984.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Stade Rennais win1.98Fair

Double chanceStade Rennais or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	11	8	4	1
1	8	12	9	4	2
2	5	7	5	2
3	2	3	2
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Sturm Graz at 28%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Stade Rennais at 47%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward Stade Rennais. Sturm Graz is priced at 3.44. The draw is priced at 3.86. Stade Rennais is priced at 1.984.

The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Sturm Graz or Stade Rennais?

Our model rates Stade Rennais as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Sturm Graz vs Stade Rennais?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

UEFA Europa League - League stage

#	Team	G
1	Sunderland	0:0
2	Crystal Palace	0:0
3	Bournemouth	0:0
4	Real Sociedad	0:0
5	Celta	0:0
6	FC Salzburg	0:0
7	Sturm Graz	0:0
8	Viktoria Plzen	0:0
9	AC Sparta Prague	0:0
10	Anderlecht	0:0
11	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	0:0
12	Olympique de Marseille	0:0
13	Stade Rennais	0:0
14	Lyon	0:0
15	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0:0
16	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	0:0
17	Juventus	0:0
18	Milan	0:0
19	N.E.C.	0:0
20	AZ Alkmaar	0:0
21	S.C.U. Torreense	0:0
22	Levski Sofia	0:0
23	Dinamo Zagreb	0:0
24	AC Omonia	0:0
25	OFI Crete	0:0
26	Olympiacos Piraeus	0:0
27	Hapoel Be'er Sheva	0:0
28	Lillestrom	0:0
29	Jagiellonia Bialystok	0:0
30	Lech Poznan	0:0
31	Benfica	0:0
32	Celtic	0:0
33	Celje	0:0
34	Besiktas	0:0
35	Ferencvarosi	0:0
36	Ararat - Armenia	0:0