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UEFA Europa League

AC Omonia vs Celta: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

AC Omonia AC OmoniavsCelta Celta
Our predictionCelta to win
Model score: Low · 22/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Celta at 49%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: low.

Win probabilities

1 · AC Omonia24%
Draw27%
2 · Celta49%
1 · AC OmoniaDraw2 · Celta
Full team comparison

Most likely scorelines

1-112.1%
0-111.9%
1-29.4%
0-29.3%
1-07.8%
0-07.7%
Team strength rating
AC Omonia
44
Celta
60

Expected goals

1.01AC Omonia
xG
1.55Celta
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score50%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
AC Omonia Celta

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Celta win1.90Fair
Double chanceCelta or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0812952
1812952
24652
3122
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.94+1.8%
1X2AC Omonia4.14+0.7%
1X2Draw3.48-0.2%
1X2Celta1.90-0.4%
BTTSYes1.79-1.8%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts AC Omonia at 24%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Celta at 49%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward Celta. AC Omonia is priced at 4.14. The draw is priced at 3.48. Celta is priced at 1.904.

The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, AC Omonia or Celta?

Our model rates Celta as the most likely outcome at 49% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for AC Omonia vs Celta?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

UEFA Europa League - League stage
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Sunderland00000:00
2Crystal Palace00000:00
3Bournemouth00000:00
4Real Sociedad00000:00
5Celta00000:00
6FC Salzburg00000:00
7Sturm Graz00000:00
8Viktoria Plzen00000:00
9AC Sparta Prague00000:00
10Anderlecht00000:00
11Royale Union Saint-Gilloise00000:00
12Olympique de Marseille00000:00
13Stade Rennais00000:00
14Lyon00000:00
15Bayer 04 Leverkusen00000:00
16TSG 1899 Hoffenheim00000:00
17Juventus00000:00
18Milan00000:00
19N.E.C.00000:00
20AZ Alkmaar00000:00
21S.C.U. Torreense00000:00
22Levski Sofia00000:00
23Dinamo Zagreb00000:00
24AC Omonia00000:00
25OFI Crete00000:00
26Olympiacos Piraeus00000:00
27Hapoel Be'er Sheva00000:00
28Lillestrom00000:00
29Jagiellonia Bialystok00000:00
30Lech Poznan00000:00
31Benfica00000:00
32Celtic00000:00
33Celje00000:00
34Besiktas00000:00
35Ferencvarosi00000:00
36Ararat - Armenia00000:00
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Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.