UEFA Europa League

Ararat - Armenia vs AC Sparta Prague: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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Ararat - Armeniavs

AC Sparta Prague

Our predictionAC Sparta Prague to win

Model score: Medium · 46/100

Score hint: 0-1

The model puts AC Sparta Prague at 55%. The model leans toward AC Sparta Prague. Confidence: medium.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

−Recent form favours Ararat - Armenia.

Win probabilities

1 · Ararat - Armenia22%

Draw22%

2 · AC Sparta Prague55%

1 · Ararat - ArmeniaDraw2 · AC Sparta Prague

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.08+7.1%

1X2Ararat - Armenia5.10+3.8%

1X2Draw4.08-1.1%

1X2AC Sparta Prague1.63-2.7%

BTTSYes1.68-7.1%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Team strength rating

Ararat - Armenia

AC Sparta Prague

Most likely scorelines

0-112.7%

1-111.6%

0-210.5%

1-29.6%

0-07.8%

1-07.1%

Recent form

Ararat - ArmeniaWLWDD

AC Sparta PragueLLWWL

Expected goals

0.91Ararat - Armenia

1.64AC Sparta Prague

Over 2.5 goals47%

Both teams to score48%

Match DNA

Ararat - Armenia AC Sparta Prague

Key points

Ararat - Armenia have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
AC Sparta Prague have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
AC Sparta Prague is priced at 1.63.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2AC Sparta Prague win1.63Fair (-2.7%)

Double chanceAC Sparta Prague or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	13	10	6	2
1	7	12	10	5	2
2	3	5	4	2
3		2	1
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Ararat - Armenia at 22%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts AC Sparta Prague at 55%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward AC Sparta Prague. Ararat - Armenia is priced at 5.1. The draw is priced at 4.08. AC Sparta Prague is priced at 1.63.

AC Sparta Prague have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.

Ararat - Armenia have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. AC Sparta Prague have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Ararat - Armenia or AC Sparta Prague?

Our model rates AC Sparta Prague as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Ararat - Armenia vs AC Sparta Prague?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 2 meetings: 0 Ararat - Armenia wins, 0 draws, 2 AC Sparta Prague wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

UEFA Europa League - League stage

#	Team	G
1	Sunderland	0:0
2	Crystal Palace	0:0
3	Bournemouth	0:0
4	Real Sociedad	0:0
5	Celta	0:0
6	FC Salzburg	0:0
7	Sturm Graz	0:0
8	Viktoria Plzen	0:0
9	AC Sparta Prague	0:0
10	Anderlecht	0:0
11	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	0:0
12	Olympique de Marseille	0:0
13	Stade Rennais	0:0
14	Lyon	0:0
15	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0:0
16	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	0:0
17	Juventus	0:0
18	Milan	0:0
19	N.E.C.	0:0
20	AZ Alkmaar	0:0
21	S.C.U. Torreense	0:0
22	Levski Sofia	0:0
23	Dinamo Zagreb	0:0
24	AC Omonia	0:0
25	OFI Crete	0:0
26	Olympiacos Piraeus	0:0
27	Hapoel Be'er Sheva	0:0
28	Lillestrom	0:0
29	Jagiellonia Bialystok	0:0
30	Lech Poznan	0:0
31	Benfica	0:0
32	Celtic	0:0
33	Celje	0:0
34	Besiktas	0:0
35	Ferencvarosi	0:0
36	Ararat - Armenia	0:0