UEFA Europa League

Olympiacos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia Bialystok: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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Olympiacos Piraeusvs

Jagiellonia Bialystok

Our predictionOlympiacos Piraeus to win

Model score: High · 92/100

Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Olympiacos Piraeus at 69%. The model leans toward Olympiacos Piraeus. Confidence: high.

Win probabilities

1 · Olympiacos Piraeus69%

Draw19%

2 · Jagiellonia Bialystok11%

1 · Olympiacos PiraeusDraw2 · Jagiellonia Bialystok

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.85+14.2%

1X2Olympiacos Piraeus1.37+0.3%

1X2Jagiellonia Bialystok8.50-0.1%

1X2Draw4.82-0.2%

BTTSYes1.87-14.2%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Team strength rating

Olympiacos Piraeus

Jagiellonia Bialystok

Recent form

Olympiacos PiraeusLLWWL

Jagiellonia BialystokLDWWL

Most likely scorelines

2-016.1%

1-014.9%

3-011.6%

2-18.3%

1-17.6%

0-06.9%

Expected goals

2.16Olympiacos Piraeus

0.51Jagiellonia Bialystok

Over 2.5 goals50%

Both teams to score36%

Match DNA

Olympiacos Piraeus Jagiellonia Bialystok

Key points

Olympiacos Piraeus have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Jagiellonia Bialystok have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Olympiacos Piraeus is priced at 1.37.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Olympiacos Piraeus win1.37Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2
0	7	4
1	15	8	2
2	16	8	2
3	12	6	2
4	6	3
5	3	1

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Olympiacos Piraeus at 69%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Jagiellonia Bialystok at 11%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Olympiacos Piraeus. Olympiacos Piraeus is priced at 1.37. The draw is priced at 4.82. Jagiellonia Bialystok is priced at 8.5.

Jagiellonia Bialystok have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.

Olympiacos Piraeus have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Jagiellonia Bialystok have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 36% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Olympiacos Piraeus or Jagiellonia Bialystok?

Our model rates Olympiacos Piraeus as the most likely outcome at 69% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Olympiacos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 0 Olympiacos Piraeus wins, 0 draws, 1 Jagiellonia Bialystok wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

UEFA Europa League - League stage

#	Team	G
1	Sunderland	0:0
2	Crystal Palace	0:0
3	Bournemouth	0:0
4	Real Sociedad	0:0
5	Celta	0:0
6	FC Salzburg	0:0
7	Sturm Graz	0:0
8	Viktoria Plzen	0:0
9	AC Sparta Prague	0:0
10	Anderlecht	0:0
11	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	0:0
12	Olympique de Marseille	0:0
13	Stade Rennais	0:0
14	Lyon	0:0
15	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0:0
16	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	0:0
17	Juventus	0:0
18	Milan	0:0
19	N.E.C.	0:0
20	AZ Alkmaar	0:0
21	S.C.U. Torreense	0:0
22	Levski Sofia	0:0
23	Dinamo Zagreb	0:0
24	AC Omonia	0:0
25	OFI Crete	0:0
26	Olympiacos Piraeus	0:0
27	Hapoel Be'er Sheva	0:0
28	Lillestrom	0:0
29	Jagiellonia Bialystok	0:0
30	Lech Poznan	0:0
31	Benfica	0:0
32	Celtic	0:0
33	Celje	0:0
34	Besiktas	0:0
35	Ferencvarosi	0:0
36	Ararat - Armenia	0:0