Olympiacos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia Bialystok: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Olympiacos Piraeusvs
Jagiellonia BialystokThe model puts Olympiacos Piraeus at 69%. The model leans toward Olympiacos Piraeus. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Jagiellonia Bialystok.
- −Olympiacos Piraeus are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Jagiellonia Bialystok are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Olympiacos Piraeus have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Jagiellonia Bialystok have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Olympiacos Piraeus will be without Popovic Ba., Scipioni, Garcia D., Kleyton, Roca, Fortounis, El Kaabi A., Yazici.
- Jagiellonia Bialystok will be without Drachal, Rallis, Zalewski, Kobayashi, Sou.
- Olympiacos Piraeus is priced at 1.31.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Olympiacos Piraeus at 69%. The model puts the draw at 17%. The model puts Jagiellonia Bialystok at 14%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Olympiacos Piraeus. Olympiacos Piraeus is priced at 1.31. The draw is priced at 5.25. Jagiellonia Bialystok is priced at 9.8.
Jagiellonia Bialystok have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Olympiacos Piraeus have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Jagiellonia Bialystok have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 38% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Olympiacos Piraeus or Jagiellonia Bialystok?
Our model rates Olympiacos Piraeus as the most likely outcome at 69% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Olympiacos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Olympiacos Piraeus wins, 0 draws, 1 Jagiellonia Bialystok wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.