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UEFA Europa League

Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Hapoel Be'er Sheva Hapoel Be'er ShevavsDinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
Our predictionDinamo Zagreb to win
Model score: Medium · 57/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Dinamo Zagreb at 49%. The model leans toward Dinamo Zagreb. Confidence: medium.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Hapoel Be'er Sheva27%
Draw24%
2 · Dinamo Zagreb49%
1 · Hapoel Be'er ShevaDraw2 · Dinamo Zagreb
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.32+9.1%
1X2Dinamo Zagreb1.98+1.5%
1X2Hapoel Be'er Sheva3.52-0.3%
1X2Draw3.76-1.1%
BTTSYes1.55-9.1%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
35
Dinamo Zagreb
67

Most likely scorelines

1-112.2%
0-111.6%
1-29.3%
0-28.8%
1-08.1%
0-07.6%

Recent form

Hapoel Be'er ShevaLDWLW
Dinamo ZagrebWDLWD

Expected goals

1.06Hapoel Be'er Sheva
xG
1.52Dinamo Zagreb
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score51%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Hapoel Be'er Sheva Dinamo Zagreb

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Dinamo Zagreb win1.98Fair (+1.5%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0812942
1812952
24652
3122
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Hapoel Be'er Sheva at 27%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Dinamo Zagreb at 49%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward Dinamo Zagreb. Hapoel Be'er Sheva is priced at 3.52. The draw is priced at 3.76. Dinamo Zagreb is priced at 1.984.

Dinamo Zagreb have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.

Hapoel Be'er Sheva have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Dinamo Zagreb have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Hapoel Be'er Sheva or Dinamo Zagreb?

Our model rates Dinamo Zagreb as the most likely outcome at 49% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 2 meetings: 0 Hapoel Be'er Sheva wins, 1 draws, 1 Dinamo Zagreb wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

UEFA Europa League - League stage
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Sunderland00000:00
2Crystal Palace00000:00
3Bournemouth00000:00
4Real Sociedad00000:00
5Celta00000:00
6FC Salzburg00000:00
7Sturm Graz00000:00
8Viktoria Plzen00000:00
9AC Sparta Prague00000:00
10Anderlecht00000:00
11Royale Union Saint-Gilloise00000:00
12Olympique de Marseille00000:00
13Stade Rennais00000:00
14Lyon00000:00
15Bayer 04 Leverkusen00000:00
16TSG 1899 Hoffenheim00000:00
17Juventus00000:00
18Milan00000:00
19N.E.C.00000:00
20AZ Alkmaar00000:00
21S.C.U. Torreense00000:00
22Levski Sofia00000:00
23Dinamo Zagreb00000:00
24AC Omonia00000:00
25OFI Crete00000:00
26Olympiacos Piraeus00000:00
27Hapoel Be'er Sheva00000:00
28Lillestrom00000:00
29Jagiellonia Bialystok00000:00
30Lech Poznan00000:00
31Benfica00000:00
32Celtic00000:00
33Celje00000:00
34Besiktas00000:00
35Ferencvarosi00000:00
36Ararat - Armenia00000:00
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Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.