Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Dinamo Zagreb at 49%. The model leans toward Dinamo Zagreb. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Dinamo Zagreb.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Hapoel Be'er Sheva have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dinamo Zagreb have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dinamo Zagreb is priced at 1.984.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Hapoel Be'er Sheva at 27%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Dinamo Zagreb at 49%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Dinamo Zagreb. Hapoel Be'er Sheva is priced at 3.52. The draw is priced at 3.76. Dinamo Zagreb is priced at 1.984.
Dinamo Zagreb have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Hapoel Be'er Sheva have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Dinamo Zagreb have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Hapoel Be'er Sheva or Dinamo Zagreb?
Our model rates Dinamo Zagreb as the most likely outcome at 49% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 0 Hapoel Be'er Sheva wins, 1 draws, 1 Dinamo Zagreb wins.
League table
UEFA Europa League - League stage| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.