UEFA Europa League

Anderlecht vs Lyon: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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Anderlechtvs

Lyon

Our predictionLyon to win

Model score: Medium · 52/100

Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Lyon at 48%. The model leans toward Lyon. Confidence: medium.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

+The head-to-head record favours Lyon (2-0-4).

Win probabilities

1 · Anderlecht27%

Draw25%

2 · Lyon48%

1 · AnderlechtDraw2 · Lyon

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.32+8.8%

1X2Lyon2.00+0.8%

1X2Anderlecht3.52+0.0%

1X2Draw3.68-0.8%

BTTSYes1.55-8.8%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

AnderlechtDWLWW

LyonWDLWD

Team strength rating

Anderlecht

Lyon

Most likely scorelines

1-112.3%

0-111.4%

1-29.2%

0-28.5%

1-08.2%

0-07.6%

Expected goals

1.08Anderlecht

1.50Lyon

Over 2.5 goals47%

Both teams to score51%

Match DNA

Anderlecht Lyon

Key points

Anderlecht have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
Lyon have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Anderlecht have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
Lyon is priced at 2.005.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Lyon win2.00Fair (+0.8%)

Double chanceLyon or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	11	9	4	2
1	8	12	9	5	2
2	4	7	5	2
3	2	2	2
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Anderlecht at 27%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Lyon at 48%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward Lyon. Anderlecht is priced at 3.52. The draw is priced at 3.68. Lyon is priced at 2.005.

Anderlecht have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Lyon have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.

Anderlecht have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Lyon have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Anderlecht or Lyon?

Our model rates Lyon as the most likely outcome at 48% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Anderlecht vs Lyon?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 2 Anderlecht wins, 0 draws, 4 Lyon wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

UEFA Europa League - League stage

#	Team	G
1	Sunderland	0:0
2	Crystal Palace	0:0
3	Bournemouth	0:0
4	Real Sociedad	0:0
5	Celta	0:0
6	FC Salzburg	0:0
7	Sturm Graz	0:0
8	Viktoria Plzen	0:0
9	AC Sparta Prague	0:0
10	Anderlecht	0:0
11	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	0:0
12	Olympique de Marseille	0:0
13	Stade Rennais	0:0
14	Lyon	0:0
15	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0:0
16	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	0:0
17	Juventus	0:0
18	Milan	0:0
19	N.E.C.	0:0
20	AZ Alkmaar	0:0
21	S.C.U. Torreense	0:0
22	Levski Sofia	0:0
23	Dinamo Zagreb	0:0
24	AC Omonia	0:0
25	OFI Crete	0:0
26	Olympiacos Piraeus	0:0
27	Hapoel Be'er Sheva	0:0
28	Lillestrom	0:0
29	Jagiellonia Bialystok	0:0
30	Lech Poznan	0:0
31	Benfica	0:0
32	Celtic	0:0
33	Celje	0:0
34	Besiktas	0:0
35	Ferencvarosi	0:0
36	Ararat - Armenia	0:0