UEFA Europa League

Juventus vs N.E.C.: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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Juventusvs

N.E.C.

Our predictionJuventus to win

Model score: Medium · 50/100

Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Juventus at 75%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · Juventus75%

Draw16%

2 · N.E.C.9%

1 · JuventusDraw2 · N.E.C.

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.84+19.2%

1X2Juventus1.26+0.2%

1X2N.E.C.11.00-0.1%

1X2Draw5.80-0.1%

BTTSYes1.88-19.2%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Team strength rating

Juventus

N.E.C.

Most likely scorelines

2-017.6%

1-015.5%

3-013.4%

4-07.6%

2-17.3%

0-06.8%

Expected goals

2.28Juventus

0.41N.E.C.

Over 2.5 goals50%

Both teams to score30%

Match DNA

Juventus N.E.C.

Key points

Juventus is priced at 1.264.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Juventus win1.26Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2
0	7	3
1	15	6	1
2	18	7	1
3	13	5	1
4	8	3
5	3	1

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Juventus at 75%. The model puts the draw at 16%. The model puts N.E.C. at 9%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Juventus. Juventus is priced at 1.264. The draw is priced at 5.8. N.E.C. is priced at 11.

The model gives 30% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Juventus or N.E.C.?

Our model rates Juventus as the most likely outcome at 75% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Juventus vs N.E.C.?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

UEFA Europa League - League stage

#	Team	G
1	Sunderland	0:0
2	Crystal Palace	0:0
3	Bournemouth	0:0
4	Real Sociedad	0:0
5	Celta	0:0
6	FC Salzburg	0:0
7	Sturm Graz	0:0
8	Viktoria Plzen	0:0
9	AC Sparta Prague	0:0
10	Anderlecht	0:0
11	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	0:0
12	Olympique de Marseille	0:0
13	Stade Rennais	0:0
14	Lyon	0:0
15	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0:0
16	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	0:0
17	Juventus	0:0
18	Milan	0:0
19	N.E.C.	0:0
20	AZ Alkmaar	0:0
21	S.C.U. Torreense	0:0
22	Levski Sofia	0:0
23	Dinamo Zagreb	0:0
24	AC Omonia	0:0
25	OFI Crete	0:0
26	Olympiacos Piraeus	0:0
27	Hapoel Be'er Sheva	0:0
28	Lillestrom	0:0
29	Jagiellonia Bialystok	0:0
30	Lech Poznan	0:0
31	Benfica	0:0
32	Celtic	0:0
33	Celje	0:0
34	Besiktas	0:0
35	Ferencvarosi	0:0
36	Ararat - Armenia	0:0