UEFA Europa League

OFI Crete vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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OFI Cretevs

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Our predictionTSG 1899 Hoffenheim to win

Model score: Medium · 47/100

Score hint: 0-1

The model puts TSG 1899 Hoffenheim at 67%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · OFI Crete13%

Draw20%

2 · TSG 1899 Hoffenheim67%

1 · OFI CreteDraw2 · TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.92+12.0%

1X2OFI Crete7.70+0.8%

1X2Draw4.72-0.2%

1X2TSG 1899 Hoffenheim1.40-0.6%

BTTSYes1.80-12.0%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Team strength rating

OFI Crete

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Most likely scorelines

0-115.1%

0-214.4%

1-19.5%

0-39.1%

1-29.1%

0-08.0%

Expected goals

0.63OFI Crete

1.90TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Over 2.5 goals46%

Both teams to score40%

Match DNA

OFI Crete TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Key points

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is priced at 1.4.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win1.40Fair (-0.6%)

Double chanceTSG 1899 Hoffenheim or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	15	14	9	4	2
1	5	10	9	6	3	1
2	2	3	3	2
3
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts OFI Crete at 13%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts TSG 1899 Hoffenheim at 67%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. OFI Crete is priced at 7.7. The draw is priced at 4.72. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is priced at 1.4.

The model gives 40% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, OFI Crete or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim?

Our model rates TSG 1899 Hoffenheim as the most likely outcome at 67% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for OFI Crete vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

UEFA Europa League - League stage

#	Team	G
1	Sunderland	0:0
2	Crystal Palace	0:0
3	Bournemouth	0:0
4	Real Sociedad	0:0
5	Celta	0:0
6	FC Salzburg	0:0
7	Sturm Graz	0:0
8	Viktoria Plzen	0:0
9	AC Sparta Prague	0:0
10	Anderlecht	0:0
11	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	0:0
12	Olympique de Marseille	0:0
13	Stade Rennais	0:0
14	Lyon	0:0
15	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0:0
16	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	0:0
17	Juventus	0:0
18	Milan	0:0
19	N.E.C.	0:0
20	AZ Alkmaar	0:0
21	S.C.U. Torreense	0:0
22	Levski Sofia	0:0
23	Dinamo Zagreb	0:0
24	AC Omonia	0:0
25	OFI Crete	0:0
26	Olympiacos Piraeus	0:0
27	Hapoel Be'er Sheva	0:0
28	Lillestrom	0:0
29	Jagiellonia Bialystok	0:0
30	Lech Poznan	0:0
31	Benfica	0:0
32	Celtic	0:0
33	Celje	0:0
34	Besiktas	0:0
35	Ferencvarosi	0:0
36	Ararat - Armenia	0:0