OFI Crete vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
OFI Cretevs
TSG 1899 HoffenheimThe model puts TSG 1899 Hoffenheim at 74%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +OFI Crete are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- OFI Crete will be without Marinakis N., Nicolaou.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim will be without Engelns.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is priced at 1.28.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 16 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 2 |
| 1 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts OFI Crete at 11%. The model puts the draw at 16%. The model puts TSG 1899 Hoffenheim at 74%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
The market leans toward TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. OFI Crete is priced at 9.6. The draw is priced at 5.9. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is priced at 1.28.
The model gives 34% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, OFI Crete or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim?
Our model rates TSG 1899 Hoffenheim as the most likely outcome at 74% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for OFI Crete vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.